q3 · v1

Open for forecasts

Will the USDA WASDE published in December 2026 put China's 2026/27 soybean imports below 95.5 million metric tons?

Target: China 2026/27 soybean imports forecast in the USDA December 2026 WASDE, world soybean supply-and-use table
Threshold: 95.5 (million metric tons)
Window: 2026-12-01 08:00:00 UTC → 2027-01-01 07:59:59 UTC
YES rule: The December 2026 WASDE world soybean supply-and-use table shows China 2026/27 soybean imports below 95.5 million metric tons.
NO rule: The December 2026 WASDE world soybean supply-and-use table shows China 2026/27 soybean imports at or above 95.5 million metric tons.
Source: USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), December 2026 release, world soybean supply-and-use table, China soybean imports row
Missing data: If the December 2026 WASDE is not published by 2027-01-31, or the China 2026/27 soybean imports figure is absent from the world soybean supply-and-use table, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
Evidence cutoff: 2026-09-29 07:00:00 UTC
Forecast lock: 2026-09-29 07:00:00 UTC
Next check: —

Outcome