q3 · v1

Open for forecasts

Will the December 2026 USDA Cattle on Feed report show U.S. cattle on feed (feedlots with 1,000+ head capacity) at or above 12.0 million head?

Target: U.S. cattle on feed (feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head), December 2026 report
Threshold: 12 (million head)
Window: 2026-10-05 07:00:00 UTC → 2027-01-01 07:59:59 UTC
YES rule: The December 2026 Cattle on Feed report published by USDA NASS reports U.S. cattle on feed (feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head) at or above 12.0 million head.
NO rule: The December 2026 Cattle on Feed report reports below 12.0 million head.
Source: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Cattle on Feed, December 2026 release
Missing data: If the December 2026 Cattle on Feed report is not published by 2026-12-31, or the U.S. cattle-on-feed figure is absent, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
Evidence cutoff: 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
Forecast lock: 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
Next check: —

Outcome