q2 · v1
Open for forecastsWill the FAO All Rice Price Index (2014-2016 = 100) print above 115.0 in at least one of the October 2026 and November 2026 editions of the FAO Rice Price Update?
- Target
- FAO All Rice Price Index (2014-2016=100), October 2026 and November 2026 editions of the FAO Rice Price Update
- Threshold
- 115 (index points)
- Window
- 2026-10-01 07:00:00 UTC → 2026-12-16 07:59:59 UTC
- YES rule
- The All Rice Price Index prints above 115.0 in the October 2026 edition, the November 2026 edition, or both.
- NO rule
- The index is at or below 115.0 in both the October and November 2026 editions.
- Source
- UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), monthly 'FAO Rice Price Update', All Rice Price Index (2014-2016=100), October 2026 and November 2026 editions
- Missing data
- If the FAO Rice Price Update October 2026 or November 2026 edition is not published by 2026-12-15, or the All Rice Price Index figure is absent from an edition, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The index value as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
- Evidence cutoff
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Forecast lock
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Next check
- —
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