q2 · v1
Open for forecastsWill the European Commission or Council announce a further delay to the EUDR application date for large operators (currently 30 December 2026) at any point between 2026-10-01 and 2026-12-31, inclusive?
- Target
- Official EU announcement or act moving the large-operator EUDR application date beyond 30 December 2026
- Window
- 2026-10-01 07:00:00 UTC → 2027-01-01 07:59:59 UTC
- YES rule
- An official EU announcement (European Commission press release or a Council/Official Journal act) moves the large-operator EUDR application date beyond 30 December 2026, with an announcement or publication date inside the window.
- NO rule
- No such official announcement or act is published by 2026-12-31. Parliamentary debate, industry lobbying, or press speculation without an official EU act do not count.
- Source
- European Commission press releases and the Official Journal of the European Union (EUR-Lex)
- Missing data
- The announcement or publication date as stated in the official release controls. If no qualifying announcement or act appears by 2026-12-31 and EU publication channels were reachable at review time, the question resolves NO. If EU publication channels were unreachable at review time so that absence cannot be verified, the question resolves DATA_MISSING, pending reviewer decision. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
- Evidence cutoff
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Forecast lock
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Next check
- —
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