q2 · v1

Will Malaysia's end-October 2026 palm oil closing stocks, as published by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board in its Monthly Palm Oil Statistics release, exceed 3,000,000 tonnes?

Target

Malaysia end-month palm oil closing stocks for October 2026, per MPOB

Threshold

3000000 (tonnes)

Window

2026-10-05 07:00:00 UTC → 2026-12-01 07:59:59 UTC

YES rule

The MPOB-published end-October 2026 Malaysian palm oil closing stocks figure exceeds 3,000,000 tonnes.

NO rule

The MPOB-published end-October 2026 Malaysian palm oil closing stocks figure is at or below 3,000,000 tonnes.

Source

Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) Monthly Palm Oil Statistics release (stocks data)

Missing data

If the MPOB October 2026 Monthly Palm Oil Statistics release (stocks data) is not published by 2026-11-30, or the October closing-stocks figure is absent, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.

Evidence cutoff

2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC

Forecast lock

2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC

Next check

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Outcome

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