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← India's weak monsoon cuts rice output; export curbs possible

q3 · v1

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Will India's Directorate General of Foreign Trade issue a notification imposing new or tightened export restrictions (a new or raised minimum export price, a new or extended export quota, or a new or reimposed prohibition) on any rice category at any point between 2026-10-01 and 2026-12-31, inclusive?

Target
DGFT notification imposing new or tightened rice export restrictions (new/raised minimum export price, new/extended quota, or new/reimposed prohibition)
Window
2026-10-01 07:00:00 UTC → 2027-01-01 07:59:59 UTC
YES rule
A DGFT notification imposing a new or tightened export restriction — a new or raised minimum export price, a new or extended export quota, or a new or reimposed prohibition — on any rice category is issued with a notification date within the window.
NO rule
No such DGFT notification is issued within the window; press reports or ministerial statements without a DGFT notification do not count.
Source
India's Directorate General of Foreign Trade (DGFT), export-policy notifications on dgft.gov.in
Missing data
The notification date as stated on the DGFT notification controls. If no qualifying DGFT notification is issued within the window and the DGFT publication feed was reachable at review time, the question resolves NO. If the DGFT publication feed was unavailable at review time so that absence cannot be verified, the question resolves DATA_MISSING, pending reviewer decision. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
Evidence cutoff
2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
Forecast lock
2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
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