q3 · v1
Open for forecastsWill Nigeria's average crude oil production in November 2026, as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-sources table of crude oil production by member country (December 2026 edition), be below 1,450 thousand barrels per day (1.45 million bpd)?
- Target
- Nigeria November 2026 average crude oil production (OPEC MOMR secondary sources, December 2026 edition)
- Threshold
- 1450 (thousand barrels per day)
- Window
- 2026-10-05 07:00:00 UTC → 2026-12-19 07:59:59 UTC
- YES rule
- The December 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report's secondary-sources table shows Nigeria November 2026 crude production strictly below 1,450 thousand barrels per day (1.45 million bpd).
- NO rule
- The reported November 2026 Nigeria average is at or above 1,450 thousand barrels per day (1.45 million bpd).
- Source
- OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (December 2026 edition), secondary-sources table of crude oil production by member country, Nigeria row, November 2026 column
- Missing data
- Use the November 2026 Nigeria value as published in the December 2026 MOMR edition, taken as-is with no revision adjustment. If the December 2026 MOMR is not published by 2027-01-31, or the November 2026 Nigeria value is absent, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
- Evidence cutoff
- 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
- Forecast lock
- 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
- Next check
- —
Outcome
No outcome recorded yet.
Your forecast
Forecast history
No forecasts recorded for this question yet.