q1 · v1

Open for forecasts

Will front-month ICE Brent crude oil settle above $110.00 per barrel on at least one trading day between 2026-09-22 and 2026-10-16, inclusive?

Target: Daily settlement price of the front-month Brent crude futures contract on ICE Futures Europe
Threshold: 110 (USD/barrel)
Window: 2026-09-22 07:00:00 UTC → 2026-10-17 06:59:59 UTC
YES rule: At least one daily settlement price of the front-month Brent crude futures contract on ICE Futures Europe exceeds $110.00/barrel on a day within the window 2026-09-22 through 2026-10-16, inclusive.
NO rule: No daily settlement price of the front-month Brent crude contract exceeds $110.00/barrel on any day within the window.
Source: ICE Futures Europe daily settlement for the front-month Brent contract (cross-checked against EIA reporting where needed).
Missing data: Front-month follows the standard contract roll: on each trading day, use the contract designated front-month by ICE at that day's close. Weekends, holidays, or days with no settlement are not YES days. If ICE suspends Brent trading entirely for 5+ consecutive trading days in the window, the question resolves unresolved, pending reviewer decision.
Evidence cutoff: 2026-10-17 06:59:59 UTC
Forecast lock: 2026-09-25 07:00:00 UTC
Next check: 2026-09-25 00:37:50 UTC

Outcome

No outcome recorded yet.

75%user:2881af2b
evidence cutoff 2026-09-24 00:50:27 UTC·2026-09-24 00:50:27 UTCcurrent
0%user:2881af2b
evidence cutoff 2026-09-24 00:50:02 UTC·2026-09-24 00:50:02 UTCsuperseded