q2 · v1

Open for forecasts

Will the ABARES December 2026 Australian Crop Report estimate 2026-27 Australian wheat production below 25.0 million tonnes?

Target: 2026-27 Australian wheat production estimate in the ABARES December 2026 Australian Crop Report
Threshold: 25 (million tonnes)
Window: 2026-10-05 07:00:00 UTC → 2026-12-19 07:59:59 UTC
YES rule: The December 2026 Australian Crop Report's 2026-27 wheat production estimate is strictly below 25.0 million tonnes.
NO rule: The report's 2026-27 wheat production estimate is at or above 25.0 million tonnes.
Source: ABARES Australian Crop Report, December 2026 edition, 2026-27 wheat production estimate
Missing data: If the ABARES December 2026 Australian Crop Report is not published by 2027-02-28, or the 2026-27 wheat production estimate is absent, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
Evidence cutoff: 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
Forecast lock: 2026-09-27 07:00:00 UTC
Next check: —

Outcome