q2 · v1

Open for forecasts

Will the USDA WASDE published in December 2026 project EU 2026/27 corn production at or below 48.0 million metric tons?

Target: EU 2026/27 corn production projection in the USDA December 2026 WASDE (world corn supply-and-use table, EU corn production row)
Threshold: 48 (million metric tons)
Window: 2026-12-01 08:00:00 UTC → 2027-01-01 07:59:59 UTC
YES rule: The December 2026 WASDE world corn supply-and-use table, EU corn production row, shows 2026/27 EU corn production at or below 48.0 million metric tons.
NO rule: The December 2026 WASDE world corn supply-and-use table, EU corn production row, shows 2026/27 EU corn production above 48.0 million metric tons.
Source: USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), December 2026 release, world corn supply-and-use table, EU corn production row (not total coarse grain)
Missing data: If the December 2026 WASDE is not published by 2027-01-31, or the EU corn production row is absent from the world corn supply-and-use table, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The value as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
Evidence cutoff: 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
Forecast lock: 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
Next check: —

Outcome