q2 · v1
Open for forecastsWill the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's November 2026 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular estimate India's 2026/27 centrifugal sugar production at 30,000 thousand metric tons (30.0 million tonnes) or lower?
- Target
- India 2026/27 centrifugal sugar production estimate in the FAS November 2026 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular
- Threshold
- 30000 (thousand metric tons)
- Window
- 2026-11-01 08:00:00 UTC → 2026-12-01 07:59:59 UTC
- YES rule
- The November 2026 FAS 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular's India production row puts 2026/27 centrifugal sugar production at 30,000 thousand metric tons (30.0 million tonnes) or lower.
- NO rule
- The November 2026 FAS 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular's India production row puts 2026/27 centrifugal sugar production above 30,000 thousand metric tons (30.0 million tonnes).
- Source
- USDA Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular, November 2026 edition, 'World Centrifugal Sugar: Production and Consumption' table, India production row (thousand metric tons, raw value)
- Missing data
- If the November 2026 'Sugar: World Markets and Trade' circular is not published by 2026-12-15, or the India 2026/27 production figure is absent, the question resolves DATA_MISSING (not NO), pending reviewer decision. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not change the resolution. Backfill: if the missing report or figure is later published, the reviewer may re-resolve the question to YES or NO. Grading: a question resolving DATA_MISSING is voided from forecaster scores.
- Evidence cutoff
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Forecast lock
- 2026-09-28 07:00:00 UTC
- Next check
- —
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