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Lumber

What world events mean for lumber — the exporters, the routes, and the retail endpoint.

Market stress
2/10Muted
12-month price change
-7.2%
Sep ’25 → Sep ’26
Top exporter
18%
Canada · of world exports

In your life

Lumber

We don't have an honest retail series for this yet — BLS tracks lumber at the producer level, but there is no published national retail price series for the boards a homeowner would buy.

US scope. We show a retail endpoint only when a published BLS series measures it honestly.

World map of Lumber exporters

Circle size ∝ share of world exports — country area does not imply volume

Top exporters
Ranked by share of world exports (2024 trade value).

Canada

18% of world lumber exports · 2024 trade value

Top 3 exporters: 37.1% of world exports.

Canada accounts for 18% of the world's exported lumber by value — a disruption here travels through the buyers and companies below.

What-if presets

See who depends on it ↓

Documented supply-chain relationships — independent of your scenario assumptions.

Lumber
Homebuilders and framing construction

framed houses · new homes · roof and floor trusses

No documented company exposure in our sources for Home-improvement retail shelf and consumer housing.

A lumber supply shock would likely first appear in futures and cash bids — timing and size are not established in our sources.

Trade structure

Critical exporters & importers

2024 vintage · annual data, 1–2y lag

Top exporters

  • Canada

    18% of world exports

  • Russia

    9.7% of world exports

  • Sweden

    9.4% of world exports

  • United States

    7.2% of world exports

  • Germany

    7% of world exports

Next tier: Finland (5.8%), Austria (4.4%), Thailand (3.4%)

Top importers

  • United States

    21.2% of world imports71.4% from Canada

  • China

    18.3% of world imports38.6% from Russia

  • United Kingdom

    6% of world imports34.3% from Sweden

  • Japan

    3.9% of world imports22.9% from Canada

  • Italy

    3.5% of world imports

An importer is “critical” here by share of world lumber imports; the per-exporter dependency underneath is what makes a shock travel. 2024 vintage · annual data, 1–2y lag — annual data, 1–2y lag.

Market stress data as of Sep 24, 2026 from the commodity supply-risk monitor.

Lumber — market stress 2/10 (Muted) | Morrowfly