A market worth thinking through · Polymarket · Energy
What will WTI crude oil hit in October 2026?
Why we find this interesting
A ladder of price bands, so you can express exactly how far you think the disruption premium goes. Our commodity monitor tracks the physical side daily.
The question we'd start with
With Hormuz disrupted and OPEC divided, where does the physical market clear?
Play it through yourself
These what-if scenarios touch the same forces. Move the sliders and see what breaks.
Where the market stands
Price ladder — see the live board for each band.
Price as of 2026-10-03. The live market always has the current number.
We haven't taken a view on this one yet — no number from us, just the framing. When we do the full work, it shows up under what we're thinking through.
See the live market →Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not financial advice.