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Import-dependence profile

Germany

2024 vintage · annual data, 1–2y lag9 critical dependencies across 8 commodities

Every row below is a sourced trade-structure fact: the share of Germany’s imports of a commodity that come from one supplier. “Critical” means ≥20% — the same threshold the scenario pages use. Coverage is the 28 monitored commodities, not all imports; where a supplier share is below the threshold it is shown as context, not exposure.

Vanilla

8.5% of world imports · 1 critical supplier

  • 64.1% of Germany’s vanilla imports come from Madagascar (63.8% of world exports)critical

  • 7.3% of Germany’s vanilla imports come from France (2.3% of world exports)

  • 4.3% of Germany’s vanilla imports come from Uganda (4.2% of world exports)

  • 2.6% of Germany’s vanilla imports come from Indonesia (4.6% of world exports)

Cocoa

10.4% of world imports · 3 critical suppliers

  • 53.1% of Germany’s cocoa imports come from Netherlands (7.2% of world exports)critical

  • 22.2% of Germany’s cocoa imports come from Côte d'Ivoire (28.9% of world exports)critical

    Shocked by: What if West Africa's cocoa belt dries out?

  • 20.9% of Germany’s cocoa imports come from Ecuador (22.5% of world exports)critical

  • 2.9% of Germany’s cocoa imports come from Ghana (7.8% of world exports)

  • 1.1% of Germany’s cocoa imports come from Nigeria (11.8% of world exports)

Orange juice

6% of world imports · 2 critical suppliers

  • 37.4% of Germany’s orange juice imports come from Brazil (34.5% of world exports)critical

  • 34.5% of Germany’s orange juice imports come from Netherlands (7.2% of world exports)critical

  • 6.6% of Germany’s orange juice imports come from Spain (4.53% of world exports)

  • 3.1% of Germany’s orange juice imports come from Mexico (7.03% of world exports)

Iron ore

1.83% of world imports · 2 critical suppliers

  • 36% of Germany’s iron ore imports come from Canada (10.86% of world exports)critical

  • 20.32% of Germany’s iron ore imports come from South Africa (2.1% of world exports)critical

  • 14.36% of Germany’s iron ore imports come from Brazil (34.5% of world exports)

  • 0% of Germany’s iron ore imports come from Australia (4.94% of world exports)

  • 0% of Germany’s iron ore imports come from India (6.02% of world exports)

Coffee

10.8% of world imports · 1 critical supplier

  • 35.7% of Germany’s coffee imports come from Brazil (34.5% of world exports)critical

    Shocked by: What if Brazil's coffee regions bake again? · What if Brazil's harvests falter?

  • 12% of Germany’s coffee imports come from Vietnam (12.1% of world exports)

  • 4.6% of Germany’s coffee imports come from Colombia (10.9% of world exports)

  • 3.9% of Germany’s coffee imports come from Ethiopia (4.3% of world exports)

  • 1.5% of Germany’s coffee imports come from Indonesia (4.6% of world exports)

Copper

4.2% of world imports · 0 critical suppliers

  • 10.8% of Germany’s copper imports come from Chile (18% of world exports)

  • 6.8% of Germany’s copper imports come from DR Congo (20.4% of world exports)

Aluminum

7.51% of world imports · 0 critical suppliers

  • 8.66% of Germany’s aluminum imports come from United Arab Emirates (9.51% of world exports)

  • 2.6% of Germany’s aluminum imports come from Russia (9.38% of world exports)

  • 1.6% of Germany’s aluminum imports come from Canada (10.86% of world exports)

  • 1.35% of Germany’s aluminum imports come from India (6.02% of world exports)

  • 1.08% of Germany’s aluminum imports come from Malaysia (5.66% of world exports)

Autos

7.33% of world imports · 0 critical suppliers

  • 5.67% of Germany’s autos imports come from Mexico (7.03% of world exports)

  • 5.13% of Germany’s autos imports come from China (9.13% of world exports)

  • 3.46% of Germany’s autos imports come from Japan (12.26% of world exports)

  • 2.22% of Germany’s autos imports come from South Korea (7.31% of world exports)

Illustrative exposure lens — not a prediction, not financial advice.